According to Odaily, Federal Reserve's Barkin has expressed confidence that the Fed will discuss whether it is still appropriate to describe inflation as high during its July policy meeting. He stated that a 25 basis point rate cut is insignificant regardless; the key issue is when to change the narrative. Barkin emphasized that the best way to maintain credibility is to do the right thing at the right time.
According to Odaily, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated on Wednesday that the time for interest rate cuts is approaching, although economic uncertainties make the timing unclear. Waller stated, 'I believe the current data is consistent with achieving a soft landing, and I will be looking for data in the coming months to support this view.' He added, 'While I do not think we have reached the final goal, I do believe we are getting closer to the point where it would be reasonable to lower policy rates.'Waller noted that economic growth is currently progressing at a 'more moderate pace,' the job market is more balanced, and inflation has eased. He mentioned that the most 'optimistic' scenario would be a steady decline in inflation pressures, which is 'significant but not high,' and in such a case, 'I can imagine rate cuts in the near future.' However, Waller cautioned that the more likely scenario involves a more uneven decline in inflation, raising doubts about the ability to consistently return to the 2% target. 'In this case, the uncertainty of near-term rate cuts is greater,' he stated. The least likely but still possible scenario is a resurgence in inflation, which he did not link to the monetary policy path.
According to Odaily, U.S. Senator Bob Menendez from New Jersey, a member of the Democratic Party, was found guilty by a jury on Tuesday of accepting bribes, including gold bars and luxury cars, in exchange for his political influence. Menendez is known for his strong criticism of cryptocurrencies, having previously claimed that Bitcoin is an ideal choice for criminals. He is also a co-sponsor of the 'Accountability for Cryptocurrency in El Salvador (ACES) Act,' which requires the U.S. State Department to report on the risks to the U.S. financial system posed by El Salvador's adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender.
According to BlockBeats, on July 17, Federal Reserve Governor Kugler stated that the rebalancing of the employment market indicates that inflation will move towards 2%. If the unemployment rate continues to rise, it would be appropriate for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates earlier. He reiterated the stance that a rate cut later in 2024 would be suitable.Kugler mentioned that the risks faced by inflation and employment are now more balanced. While inflation has continued to decline, it remains above the target. Data released by non-governmental sectors provide another perspective on the overall economy. Additionally, Kugler expressed cautious optimism that U.S. inflation will make progress towards the 2% target. The Federal Reserve does not wish for the labor market to cool excessively.
According to Odaily, the retail sales in the United States for June remained unchanged at 0%, surpassing market expectations of a -0.3% decline. The previous month's figure was recorded at 0.1%.
According to BlockBeats, as of July 16, data from CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates a 91.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in August, with an 8.8% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut.Looking ahead to September, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rates drops to 0%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut stands at 85.7%, while the chances of a cumulative 50 basis point cut are at 13.7%. There is also a 0.5% probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut.
According to Odaily, Terra has announced via X that the general deadline for filing claims in the Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases of Terraform Labs Pte Ltd (TFL) and Terraform Labs Limited (TLL) has been set for August 10, 2024, at 5:00 AM Beijing Time. Users who have claims against TFL that arose before January 21, 2024, or July 1, 2024, must submit their claims before the general deadline.
According to Odaily, Federal Reserve's Mary Daly has indicated that policy adjustments are anticipated in the near future. Daly noted that there is growing confidence in achieving a sustainable pace to bring the inflation rate back to 2%.
According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated on July 16 that the economy has performed well over the past few years. He anticipates that economic growth will slow down this year, while inflation will continue to make progress. Powell noted that the recent three inflation data points have indeed boosted confidence.Powell emphasized that no specific signals will be given regarding any particular meeting today. Decisions will be made based on evolving data and outlooks. With inflation now decreasing, the focus will shift to the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. Powell also mentioned that if the Fed waits until the inflation rate reaches 2% before cutting interest rates, it would be waiting too long.
According to Odaily, Federal Reserve official Austan Goolsbee has indicated that the moderate inflation data for June has strengthened his belief that price pressures are easing, which supports the case for interest rate cuts. Goolsbee expressed concerns that maintaining current interest rates could result in an overly stringent policy stance, as each month of declining inflation effectively raises the real short-term interest rates.